Decision AI for agriculture

Intelligence for agriculture’s hardest decisions.

We build AI and optimization tools for agricultural investment, supply chains and processing facilities.

Our work is measured by margin, throughput, operating cost and return on capital.

01
Capital allocation
02
Revenue and margin
03
Throughput and cost
04
Resilience and risk

Evidence we work with

UN Comtrade ERA5 weather history Satellite imagery Market prices Crop and field records ERP and planning data Facility sensors Laboratory and maintenance records

01 / Capabilities

From investment strategy to daily operations.

Projects range from national food-security plans and crop investment to seasonal supply decisions and plant performance.

01Years to decades

Strategic

Plan long-term investment.

We assess crop potential, water, climate, trade and infrastructure before capital is committed.

  • Food security and trade resilience
  • Crop, land, water and investment plans
  • Processing capacity and location
Decisions

Where should capital go? Which regions and assets are likely to remain competitive? How much capacity is needed?

Primary outcomes

Return on capital. Supply resilience. Lower investment risk.

02Weeks to seasons

Tactical

Plan the next season.

We forecast demand, yield, quality and price, then use the results to set sourcing, inventory and sales plans.

  • Demand, yield and quality forecasts
  • Sourcing, hedging and inventory plans
  • Logistics and local sales growth
Decisions

What should we buy, make, sell or hedge? When and where should the plan change?

Primary outcomes

Revenue. Gross margin. Working capital. Customer service.

03Minutes to months

Facility engineering

Improve output from existing assets.

We use feedstock, process, sensor and maintenance data to find bottlenecks and improve plant performance.

  • Bottleneck and throughput analysis
  • Feedstock mix and process settings
  • Energy, water and maintenance plans
Decisions

What limits throughput? Which constraint should be removed? How should the plant run as supply and demand change?

Primary outcomes

EBITDA. Throughput. Reliability. Lower unit cost.

02 / Who we work with

Who we work with across agriculture.

Our work covers the full path from inputs and production to processing, distribution and finance.

01

Inputs and technology

Seed, fertilizer, crop protection, equipment and agritech.

What will each local market need next season?

02

Growers and producers

Farms, estates, cooperatives and livestock operators.

What should we produce, where and when?

03

Sourcing and logistics

Aggregators, merchants, storage, cold chain, fleets and ports.

How should volume be sourced, stored and moved?

04

Processing and assets

Mills, packhouses, food plants, feed plants and processing networks.

How can existing capacity produce more saleable output?

05

Products and markets

Brands, manufacturers, traders, exporters, distributors and retailers.

What should we make, price, sell and hold?

Across the system

Investors, lenders, insurers, governments and development institutions.

Where should capital, insurance and public funding go as climate and trade conditions change?

03 / Data and methods

Data, models and decisions.

We combine public sources with client data to answer a specific operating or investment question.

01

Evidence

  • Trade and marketsFlows, prices, demand and shipping
  • Weather, land and cropsWeather history, scenarios, satellite, soil, water, yield and quality
  • Commercial and operationsERP, sales, sensors, laboratory and maintenance data
02

Methods

  • Forecasting and machine learningDemand, yield, price, quality and failure risk
  • OptimizationAllocations, schedules, routes, contracts and settings
  • Geospatial and operations modelsWater, sites, networks, physical assets and choices over time
03

Outputs

  • Investment plansWhere, when and at what scale
  • Operating plansWhat to source, make, sell and move
  • Decision toolsPlans and operating rules updated as new information arrives
How it works

Forecasting estimates what may happen. Optimization tests the available choices against physical and commercial constraints.

04 / Our approach

Start with the decision.

We define the decision, identify the data it requires and build a tool that can be used in day-to-day work.

Illustrative operating problem

A processor needs to plan a short harvest when crops ripen at different times, deliveries peak and production lines risk standing idle.

  1. 01

    What happened?

    Descriptive

    Measure the campaign.

    Daily volume, ripeness, queues, line speed, downtime and waste.

  2. 02

    Why did it happen?

    Diagnostic

    Explain the losses.

    Separate field maturity, fleet, intake, changeover and equipment constraints.

  3. 03

    What is likely next?

    Predictive

    Forecast the next 14 days.

    Forecast ripening, quality, delivery peaks, capacity and demand.

  4. 04

    What should we do?

    Decision AI

    Choose the operating plan.

    Choose harvest order, crews, routes, intake slots, line schedule and product mix.

More saleable tonnes Higher throughput Less spoilage and overtime Stronger contribution margin

05 / Representative experience

Representative project experience.

These examples are based on projects completed by CubeRoots team members in previous roles. Client names and identifying details have been removed.

Case 01Strategic

National food-security investment plan

Decision
How should an import-dependent country invest to protect food supply during normal conditions and disruptions?
What we built
A national model linking production, trade, ports, storage, processing and transport under climate, trade and logistics shocks.
Illustrative impact
Ranked investments across production, storage, processing and transport within a multi-billion-dollar capital program.
Case 02Tactical

Harvest forecast and operating plan

Decision
How should a processor plan packaging, transport, harvest timing and purchases before crop volumes are known?
What we built
Yield and harvest forecasts linked to a planning model for collection, fleet allocation, packing and procurement.
Illustrative impact
Forecast accuracy improved by more than 25 percentage points. The work also identified a high-single-digit reduction in logistics costs.
Case 03Facility engineering

Facility sourcing and capacity plan

Decision
Which plants can secure enough feedstock to operate at target capacity, and where could expansion work?
What we built
A network model combining plant data, supplier locations, feedstock quality, competing demand, transport, storage and maintenance.
Illustrative impact
The model set out how to load each plant and source feedstock, with scope to raise throughput and reduce operating costs without major new equipment.

Representative engagements. Client identities and identifying details have been omitted. Figures are rounded or presented as ranges.

06 / Client experience

Selected client and team experience.

CubeRoots engagements and work completed by team members in earlier roles include:

01

A Goldman Sachs portfolio company

02

Public-sector consultancies

03

Large agricultural and food companies

Names are published only where disclosure has been approved.

07 / Team

A multidisciplinary team.

The team brings experience in agricultural strategy, data science, optimization, agronomy and engineering.

Experience

Our team includes former McKinsey consultants who have worked on national food-security models, crop and demand forecasts, supply-chain planning, field-to-factory operations and facility optimization for agricultural, food and public-sector clients.

Academic roots
Oxford Berkeley Tsinghua ETH Zurich

Contact

Talk to us about a project.

We work on capital planning, supply-chain performance and agricultural processing. Send us a short note on the decision, the constraints and the data available.

Get in touch